As daybreak broke yesterday, North America became aware of the now classified 9.0 earthquake in Japan. The world was focusing on Japan and its probles with a possible meltdown of a nuclear reactor.
As this was going on, the battle of Gadaffi’s forces with the Rebels continued. Heavily outgunned by an organized army with tanks, artillery and air support, Gadaffi regained control of Ras Lanuf.
Gadaffi’s advance continued and today he has regained control of another oil town, Brega. Untrained fighters had no chance against a well equipped and well trained army. Elments of Gadaffi’s army, which had joined the rebel’s cause have moved back to Bengazi for a final showdown with Gadaffi. Without NATO intervention they have no chance against Gadaffi and there is fear that the attack on Bengazi will end up in a wholesale slaughter.
Brega was key terrain for the defence of Bengazi, which Gadaffi can now use as a launching pad for Bengazi. Pick up trucks and machine guns have no chance.
The clock is running out. Even though US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton will meet with Rebel leaders in Paris on Tuesday, the battle may be all but over by then. Anti-Gadaffi Rebel leaders are not too optimistic without the implementation of a no fly zone.
Bob Crilly, who is in Begazi, reporting for the Telegraph, wrote:
[The loss of Brega is a major setback for the opposition, who last week held a swath of eastern Libya but now fear a rapid assault on Benghazi, Libya’s second city, and the prospect of a long, drawn-out guerrilla war.
“There’s no uprising any more,” said Nabeel Tijouri, whose heavy-machinegun had been destroyed in the fighting. “The other day we were in Ras Lanuf, then Brega, the day after tomorrow they will be in Benghazi.”]
His article demonstrates the urgency of the situation and what the rebels and Bengazi may be up against. Meanwhile the discussion continues in the EU, NATO and the UN with no outlook that a no fly zone will be implemented.
Over the past few days this author has done a lot of thinking about the situation in Libya and the sensitivities of a NATO intervention. The situation has me conflicted into what if it happened and what if it didn’t. Neither are very attractive prospects.
Could the 22 states in the Arab League have established a no fly zone on their own? Perhaps also very sensitive, since most Middle East states are embroiled in protests of their own. This however, was never an option looked at, at least not one that was made public. Agencies